Speaking at a conference in Oslo, the IEA's Fatih Birol said expectations the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will produce an ever increasing share of global oil makes "every drop of oil we can get from Norway very, very important," in retaining a diverse energy mix.
Birol said the IEA's analysis of the world's 800 largest fields, representing two third of both existing reserves and current production, didn't give "a very optimistic message."
"Non conventional oil will increase, mainly from Canada. But non-OPEC production is in difficulty. The share of OPEC production will in future be a bigger share of the total," Birol added.
Strong growth in world demand coupled with a sharp decline in existing fields are the two factors will underpin a need for more oil by 2030 than today, Birol said. Output needs to rise by 64 million barrels a day by 2030 to meet demand growth and offset decline, he said. That's equivalent to six times Saudi Arabia's capacity, or 27 times Norway's.
IEA Web site: http://www.iea.org
-By Elizabeth Cowley, Dow Jones Newswires; +47 22 20 10 58; elizabeth.cowley@dowjones.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 18, 2008 07:01 ET (12:01 GMT)
Publié le 18 novembre 2008 Copyright © 2008 Dowjones





